{"id":2708,"date":"2018-06-17T18:23:00","date_gmt":"2018-06-17T15:23:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/psikopolitikdergi.com\/?p=2708"},"modified":"2025-08-31T17:37:13","modified_gmt":"2025-08-31T14:37:13","slug":"24-hazirana-dogru-aday-secmen-iliskisi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/psikopolitikdergi.com\/24-hazirana-dogru-aday-secmen-iliskisi","title":{"rendered":"24 Haziran\u2019a Do\u011fru Aday Se\u00e7men \u0130li\u015fkisi"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Muharrem \u0130nce \u2018sert\u2019 ancak \u2018pozitif\u2019 bir kampanya y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcyor. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin yerel dokusunu \u00fcst\u00fcnde ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, CHP\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik \u2018elitist\u2019 ele\u015ftirileri de art\u0131k gelmiyor. Muharrem \u0130nce\u2019nin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131, partisinin milletvekili listelerine y\u00f6nelik ele\u015ftirilerin uzamas\u0131n\u0131 da engelledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Meydanlar\u00a0se\u00e7im\u00a0yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a iyice \u0131s\u0131n\u0131rken,\u00a0T\u00fcrkiye\u00a0tarihi i\u00e7in benzersiz bir se\u00e7ime tan\u0131k oluyoruz.\u00a0Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131\u00a0adaylar\u0131n\u0131n ve partilerin\u00a0oy\u00a0oran\u0131 her an de\u011fi\u015febilmekte ve sonu\u00e7lar \u00f6n g\u00f6r\u00fclemez halde. Bu se\u00e7imde, korkudan anketleri cevaps\u0131z b\u0131rakanlar\u0131n say\u0131s\u0131 artt\u0131. Bu da ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar\u0131n i\u015fini zorla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131. Bir\u00e7ok ankette cumhur ittifak\u0131n\u0131n %50\u2019ye yak\u0131n oldu\u011fu s\u00f6ylense de meydanlardaki bo\u015fluklar \u00f6yle demiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u00fcrkiye d\u00f6vizin y\u00fckselmesi, al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn azalmas\u0131 ve toplumsal bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131 nedeniyle ciddi bir krizin i\u00e7inde. Bu y\u00fczden, se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 \u00f6n g\u00f6r\u00fclemese de \u201cekonomik ve psikolojik\u201d se\u00e7menin belirleyeci olaca\u011f\u0131 kesin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Partilerin\u00a0Se\u00e7men\u00a0Politikalar\u0131<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Cumhur \u0130ttifak\u0131<\/strong>
Bu ittifak,\u00a0MHP\u2019nin hi\u00e7bir katk\u0131s\u0131 olmamakla beraber sadece\u00a0AKP\u2019nin 16 y\u0131ll\u0131k miras\u0131yla yetinmekte ve \u015fimdiden \u00e7at\u0131rdamakta. 2002 y\u0131l\u0131ndan bu yana s\u00fcren Erdo\u011fan merkezli \u2018\u2019star takti\u011fi\u2019\u2019, rakip partilerin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc adaylar \u00e7\u0131karmas\u0131 ve ekonomik\u00a0kriz\u00a0nedeniyle ilk kez favori g\u00f6z\u00fckm\u00fcyor.\u00a0

Star takti\u011fi, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc lider imaj\u0131yla v\u00fccut bulmaktad\u0131r. Erdo\u011fan 2002\u2019deki ekonomik krizin ve 2015\u2019teki bombalama eylemlerinin ard\u0131ndan, bir kurtar\u0131c\u0131 olarak gelmi\u015fti. Ciddi bir belirsizlik ortam\u0131 vard\u0131 ve\u00a0halk\u00a0bir kurguya, Erdo\u011fan\u2019a y\u00f6neliyordu. Ancak bug\u00fcn, \u2018\u2019faiz\u00a0lobisi ve ekonomik\u00a0darbe\u2019\u2019 s\u00f6ylemleri, toplumu ikna edemedi. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ekonomik ihtiya\u00e7lar, ertelenemeyecek kadar acildir.\u00a0

Cumhur \u0130ttifak\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u0130slami duygular\u0131 y\u00fckselten hamlesi de bo\u015fa \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u00d6rne\u011fin, Yenikap\u0131\u2019da d\u00fczenlenen \u2018Kud\u00fcs\u2019 mitingi, toplumda \u2018\u2019one minute\u2019\u2019 etkisi yaratmad\u0131. Burada muhalefetin,\u00a0\u0130srail\u00a0ile olan anla\u015fmalar\u0131 g\u00fcndemde tutmas\u0131, halk\u0131n r\u0131za g\u00f6stermesini engelledi.\u00a0

MHP, kendisini\u00a0HDP\u2019nin gerisinde kalmas\u0131na neden olan, dar ideolojik kal\u0131plara dayal\u0131 \u2018\u2019negatif kampanya\u2019\u2019y\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Oylar\u0131n artmas\u0131na hi\u00e7bir etkisi yok ve tek amac\u0131, \u0130yi Parti\u2019nin gerisinde kalmamak.\u00a0

MHP\u2019nin oylar\u0131 artmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik iki hamlesi oldu. Birincisi, Bah\u00e7eli\u00a0Alaattin \u00c7ak\u0131c\u0131\u2019dan kahraman portresi \u00e7\u0131kartarak, so\u011fuk sava\u015ftan kalma duygusal (psikolojik) ba\u011flar\u0131 harekete ge\u00e7irmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ancak bunlar\u0131n yeni nesilde ve bug\u00fcn\u00fcn siyasal ortam\u0131nda kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 yok.\u00a0

\u0130kincisi mahkumlara af talebiydi. Bu cezaevindeki insanlar\u0131 ve aileleri b\u00fcy\u00fck bir beklentiye soktu ki bu duygusal bir hasar da yaratabilir. B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlara AKP\u2019nin kay\u0131ts\u0131z kalmas\u0131 ve Tu\u011frul T\u00fcrke\u015f\u2019in a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 sallant\u0131ya neden oldu.
Erdo\u011fan da t\u00fcm bu olumsuz tablonun bilincinde oldu\u011fundan, se\u00e7im stratejisini halk\u0131 korkutmak, muhalefeti medyada sans\u00fcrlemek ve\u00a0Kandil\u00a0operasyonu gibi yeni bir ba\u015far\u0131 \u00f6yk\u00fcs\u00fc yazmak \u00fczerine kurdu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Ancak ekonomik kriz varken ne\u00a0ter\u00f6r\u00a0ne de \u00fcnl\u00fcler takti\u011fi halk nezdinde kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k bulamaz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Millet\u00a0\u0130ttifak\u0131<\/strong>
Millet ittifak\u0131 sadece 24\u00a0Haziran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik oldu\u011fundan, toplumsal ve ideolojik bir ortakl\u0131k yok. Yaln\u0131zca AKP\u2019nin k\u00f6t\u00fc y\u00f6netimine y\u00f6nelik, s\u00f6ylem birli\u011fi var. \u00c7ok renkli olmas\u0131 ise ikinci turdaki \u015fans\u0131n\u0131 artt\u0131r\u0131yor.\u00a0

Cumhuriyet\u00a0Halk Partisi, \u00f6nce \u0130yi Parti\u2019ye 15\u00a0milletvekili\u00a0vererek, g\u00fcc\u00fc kendisinde toplad\u0131. Se\u00e7im tarihi belli olduktan sonra da kendi oylar\u0131n\u0131 artt\u0131rmaktan \u00f6te, muhalefet olarak \u00e7o\u011falman\u0131n aray\u0131\u015f\u0131nda oldu. Sa\u011f\u0131n aktif olmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131 ve AKP se\u00e7meni i\u00e7in yeni se\u00e7enekler yaratt\u0131.\u00a0

Muharrem \u0130nce \u2018sert\u2019 ancak \u2018pozitif\u2019 bir kampanya y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcyor. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin yerel dokusunu \u00fcst\u00fcnde ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan,\u00a0CHP\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik \u2018elitist\u2019 ele\u015ftirileri de art\u0131k gelmiyor. Muharrem \u0130nce\u2019nin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131, partisinin milletvekili listelerine y\u00f6nelik ele\u015ftirilerin uzamas\u0131n\u0131 da engelledi. Meydanlarda \u2018\u2019propagandif dil ve a\u011fdal\u0131 konu\u015fma\u2019\u2019dan uzak, do\u011fal ve halk\u00e7\u0131 bir ileti\u015fim kurmas\u0131, onu sahici k\u0131l\u0131yor. En \u00f6nemlisi, Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n atlam\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu s\u0131n\u0131fsal konumu iyi anlatarak, AKP\u2019ye oy veren\u00a0emek\u00e7i\u00a0kitlelerin Erdo\u011fan ile kurdu\u011fu \u00f6zde\u015fli\u011fe darbe vurdu.

\u0130yi Parti, sa\u011fda kendisini\u00a0ifade\u00a0eden 20 ile 40 ya\u015f grubuna a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131m yapt\u0131. MHP\u2019deki de\u011fi\u015fim enerjisini de alarak, merkez sa\u011fda kendisini konumland\u0131rd\u0131. Milliyet\u00e7ilik erkek kimli\u011fi ile bir b\u00fct\u00fcnd\u00fcr ve Ak\u015fener de bu kimli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, sa\u011f se\u00e7mende kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k bulmaktad\u0131r. Ayr\u0131ca, Ak\u015fener\u2019in\u00a0kad\u0131n\u00a0olu\u015fu \u2018modernizm\u2019i,\u00a0milliyet\u00e7i\u00a0olu\u015fu da \u2018yerel ba\u011flar\u2019\u0131 ifade etti\u011finden, \u2018ulusalc\u0131\u2019 kesim de sempatiyle bakt\u0131. Ancak siyasi tarz\u0131 eski oldu\u011fundan, Muharrem \u0130nce\u2019nin gerisinde kald\u0131.
Ak\u015fener K\u00fcrt se\u00e7menin oylar\u0131n\u0131 almak i\u00e7in de bir de\u011fi\u015fim izlenimi yaratmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. K\u00fcrt sorunun \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcnde TC kimli\u011fini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karmakta ve \u2019\u2019 90\u2019larda G\u00fcneydo\u011fu\u2019da operasyonlar\u0131 yapanlar, \u015fuan Erdo\u011fan ile beraber\u2019\u2019 diyerek,\u00a0Mehmet A\u011far\u2019\u0131 ve Tansu \u00c7iller\u2019i kastetmektedir. Ancak bunun K\u00fcrtleri ikna etmesi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. \u0130yi Parti\u2019nin en b\u00fcy\u00fck handikap\u0131, sorunlar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc konusunda net bir \u00e7er\u00e7eve \u00e7izememeleri. Bu y\u00fczden \u015fimdilik MHP\u2019nin muhalif kesimiyle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor.\u00a0

Saadet\u00a0Partisi, millet \u0130ttifak\u0131 i\u00e7inde ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 oyun \u00fczerinde bir \u00f6neme sahip. SP\u2019nin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131, AKP\u2019nin l\u00e2ik-dindar kampla\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7ti. Kud\u00fcs\u2019\u00fcn ba\u015fkent olmas\u0131yla y\u00fckselen \u0130srail kar\u015f\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n \u00f6zne olmas\u0131n\u0131 da engelledi. AKP\u2019nin taban\u0131yla benzer dokuda olmalar\u0131, ikinci turda \u0130nce i\u00e7in daha \u00f6nemli olacakt\u0131r.\u00a0

Sivas\u00a0olaylar\u0131 konusunda Karamollao\u011flu\u2019nun a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 tatmin etmedi. Ancak AKP rejimi i\u00e7inde, istedikleri makama sahip olabilecek iken muhalif olmalar\u0131, \u015fuan g\u00fcndemden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Ancak T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin yeniden kurulu\u015funda, \u00f6nlerine gelen ilk konu bu olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Halklar\u0131n Demokratik Partisi:<\/strong>
HDP\u2019li siyaset\u00e7ilerin i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fu ma\u011fduriyet, kampanyan\u0131n \u2018duygusal\u2019 (Psikolojik) s\u00fcrmesine neden oluyor. Demirta\u015f\u2019\u0131n t\u00fcm olumsuzluklara ra\u011fmen, ma\u011fduriyet edebiyat\u0131 yapmak yerine yollad\u0131\u011f\u0131 mizahi mesajlar, taban\u0131n\u0131 ayakta tutuyor. Buna ayr\u0131ca ahl\u00e2kl\u0131 kampanya da diyebiliriz. Zaten \u2018\u2019ma\u011fduriyet edebiyat\u0131\u2019\u2019 kurgulanm\u0131\u015f ma\u011fduriyetlerin \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fcd\u00fcr. Onlar halk\u0131 duygusal olarak s\u00f6m\u00fcr\u00fcrler. Ger\u00e7ek ma\u011fdurlar zaten s\u00f6m\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fckleri i\u00e7in mizahla ayakta kal\u0131rlar.

Bu se\u00e7imde, K\u00fcrt hareketi ilk kez \u201cdevletin zirvesine\u201d yakla\u015ft\u0131. \u0130kinci turda, bir ba\u015fkan yard\u0131mc\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ihtimali, bu turda AKP\u2019li K\u00fcrt se\u00e7menin de tercihini etkileyebilir.

Bu yaz\u0131 daha \u00f6nce birg\u00fcn.net web sayfas\u0131nda yay\u0131nlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/em>
17.06.2018\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Phasellus vitae ornare varius, quam nunc, tempus purus. 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